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*starred titles are available in ACT Participants' folders Modules 1 and 2 *Cane, M. 2000. “Understanding and Predicting the World’s Climate System,” in Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems: The Australian Experience. Edited by G.L. Hammer. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers. *Ward, N. 2001. “Cross-Cutting
Themes: Forecasting – Technical Issues,” in Coping with the
Climate: A Way Forward. Edited by Harrison, M., Basher, R., Clark,
C., Dilley, M., and Poolman, E., pp. 104-121. New York: International
Research Institute of Climate Prediction. Module 3 *Abawi, G.Y., Dutta, S.C., McClymont, D., Treloar, N.C., Ritchie, J., Harris, T.R. 2001. “A Decision Support tool for managing the impact of climate variability on water resources.” In Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2001 Vol 2: 685-690. Canberra: Australian National University. *Abawi, G.Y., Dutta, S.C., Harris, T., Ritchie, J., Rattray, D., Crane, A. 2000. “The use of seasonal climate forecasts in water resources management.” In Proceedings of the 3rd International Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, HYDRO 2000, The Institution of Engineers, Australia, Perth, 20-23 November, vol. 1: 447-455, 2000. *Abawi, G.Y. and Dutta, S.C. 1998. “Forecasting of streamflows in NE-Australia based on the Southern Oscillation Index,” Paper No. SEAg 98/067, International Conference on Engineering in Agriculture, Perth, Western Australia (27-30 September). Abawi, G.Y., Smith, R.J. and Brady, D.K. 1995. “Assessment of the Value of Long Range Weather Forecasts in Wheat Harvest Management.” Journal of Agricultural Engineering Research, 65, 39-48. *ADPC, 1998-2002. Extreme Climate Events Program workshop reports and technical papers. Available at http://www.adpc.ait.ac.th/ece/info.html *Blench, Roger. 1999 (November). “Seasonal Climatic Forecasting: Who can use it and how should it be disseminated?” Natural Resource Perspectives, Number 47, 4pp. (http://www.odi.org.uk/nrp) or (http://www.oneworld.org/odi/nrp) *Blench, Roger and Marriage, Zoe. 1998 (April). “Climatic Uncertainty and Natural Resource Policy: What should the role of the Government be?”, 8pp. (http://www.odi.org.uk/nrp) or (http://www.oneworld.org/odi/nrp) Chiew F. H. S., Piechota, T. C., Dracup, J. A., and McMahon, T.A. 1998. “El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Australian rainfall, streamflow and drought: links and potential for forecasting.” Journal of Hydrology, 204: 138-149. Clark, A. 2001. Risk Management for Climate, Agriculture and Policy. Canberra, Australia: Bureau of Rural Science. Clewett, J.F., Ooi Sea Hwang, Owens, D.T., George, D.A. and I.J. Partridge. 2002. Rainman International, Version 4: An integrated software package of Rainfall Information for Better Management. QI02023. Queensland, Australia: Department of Primary Industries. Gadgil, Sulochana et al. 2000. “Farming Strategies for a Variable Climate”, in Climate Prediction and Agriculture. Edited by M.V.K. Sivakumar, pp. 215-248. Washington, DC: International START Secretariat. Glantz, Michael. 2000. Lessons Learned from the 1997-1998 El Niño: Once Burned, Twice Shy. A UNEP/UNU/WMU/ISDR Assessment. Hamlet, A.F., Huppert, D. and D. P Lettenmaier. 2002. “Economic value of Long Lead Streamflow Forecasts for Columbia River Hydropower.” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,128 (2): 91-101. *Hammer, G.L., Nicholls, N. and C. Mitchell. 2000. Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems: The Australian Experience. Edited by G. L. Hammer et al, pp. 149-160. The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers. *International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI). 2000. Coping with Climate: A Way Forward. Report of an IRI Workshop in Pretoria, South Africa. New York: Columbia University. http://www.iri.columbia.edu/outreach/publications/irireport/PretoriaSumRpt2.html International Research Institute for climate prediction (IRI). 2000. Proceedings of the International Forum on Climate Prediction: Agriculture and Development (26-28 April 2000). Palisades: Columbia University. LEISA. 2001 (April). Coping with disaster. Volume 17, No. 1 of LEISA, Magazine on low external input and sustainable agriculture, 36 pp. (http://www.ileai.org) Lindsey, D. 1995. A Guide to Scientific Writing (2nd Edition). Melbourne, Australia: Addison, Wesley Longman. Manton, M. J. et. al. 2000. “Implementation of a CLIMAG Demonstration Project.” In Climate Prediction and Agriculture. Edited by M.V.K. Sivakumar, pp. 287-293. Washington, DC: International START Secretariat. Mason, S. J. and N.E. Graham. 1999. “Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics and relative operating levels.” In Weather and Forecasting, 14: 713-725. *Meinke, H., Baethgen, W.E., Carberry, P.S., Donatelli, M., Hammer, G.L., Selvaraju, R. and C.O. Stöckle. 2001. “Increasing profits and reducing risks in crop production using participatory systems simulation approaches.” In Agricultural Systems, 70: 493-513. *Meinke, H., G. L. Hammer, and R. Selvaraju. 2000. “Using Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Agriculture—The Australian Experience: Proof of Concept or Taking the Next Step: Concept Adaptation,” in Climate Prediction and Agriculture. Edited by M.V.K. Sivakumar, pp. 195-213. Washington, DC: International START Secretariat. Muchow, R.C. and J.A. Bellamy (eds). 1991. Proceedings of the International Symposium on Climatic Risk in Crop Production: models and management for the semiarid tropics and subtropics (2-6 July 1990). Brisbane, Australia. Murphy, A.H. 1993. “What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting.” In Weather and Forecasting, 8: 281-293. Murphy, A. H. 1991. “Forecast verification: its complexity and dimensionality.” In Monthly Weather Review, 105: 803-816. *National Research Council. 1999. Summary and Chapters 1, 2 and 3 in Making Climate Forecasts Matter. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. Nichols, N. 2000. “Opportunities to Improve the Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts,” in Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems: The Australian Experience. Edited by G. L. Hammer, pp. 309-327. The Netherlands: Kluwer Publishers. Pagano,T.C, Hartmann, H.C. and S. Sorooshian. 2001. “Using climate forecasts for water management: Arizona and the 1997-998 El Nino.” Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 37(5) 1139-1153. Partridge, I. J. and Mansur Mashun (Editors). 2002. Will it rain? The effect of the Southern Oscillation and El Niño in Indonesia. Brisbane, Australia: Queensland Department of Primary Industries. Salinger, M.J., Stigter, C.J. and H.P. Das. 2000. “Agrometeorological adaptation strategies to increasing climate variability and climate change.” In Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 103: 167-184. (http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agrformet). Sivakumar, M.V.K. (ed). 2000. Climate Prediction and Agriculture: Proceedings of the START/WMO International Workshop (Geneva, Switzerland; 27-29 Sept. 1999). Washington, DC: International START Secretariat. Tanco, R.A. and G. Berri. 2000. CLIMLAB2000 Manual (English Version). New York: International Research Institute for climate prediction, Columbia University. Wilks, D.S. 1995. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences: Statistical Weather Forecasting (Chapter 6, pp 159-199). San Diego: Academic Press. Wilks, D.S. 1995. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences: Forecast Verification (Chapter 7, pp 233-283). San Diego: Academic Press. Module 4 *Asia Pacific Network (APN), 2002. “The APN call for proposals 2002: Guide for proposals.” www.apn.gr.jp/cfp00.htm. *Basher, R., Clark, C., Dilley, M., and Harrison, M., eds. 2001. Coping with the Climate: A Way Forward. Summary and Proposals for Action, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, New York. *Berk, R.A., and Fovell, R.G. 1999. “Public perception of climate change: A ‘willingness to pay’ assessment.” In Climate Change (41) pp. 416-446. Coburn, A.W., Spence, R.J.S. and Pomonis, A., 1991. Vulnerability and Risk Assessment. UNDP Disaster Management Training Programme. *Dilley, M. 2001. “Institutions and sustainability.” In Harrison, M., Basher, R., Clark, C., Dilley, M., and Poolman, E. (eds), Coping with the Climate: A Way Forward. New York: International Research Institute for Climate Prediction. pp. 122-131. Harrison, M. and Graham, N. 1998. Forecast Quality, Forecast Applications And Forecast Value: Cases From Southern African Seasonal Forecasts. Unpublished. *Ropelewski, C. 2001. A Climate Information System Plan: Feasibility for ENSO Early Warning in Latin America and the Caribbean, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, unpublished. USAID Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance, Oct. 1998. OFDA Guidelines for Grant Proposals and Reporting. http://www.usaid.gov/hum_response/ofda/files/pvoguide.pdf *USNOAA, 2002. “NOAA’s Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Program” information sheet. http://www.ogp.noaa.gov/c&gc/ao/2002/econhdinfo02.htm
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